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2026 · Regional playoff watch

The playoff picture

Follow the regional race: team records, NOVA rating estimates and the games still ahead.

NOVA estimates use verified finals on file. They are not official VHSL seeds or qualification decisions; regional and opponent results may be incomplete.

111 schools10 regionsResults through Oct 17View district standings →
How this board works

The experimental rating averages opponent-classification base points and opponent-win bonuses over rated games. Unknown eligibility can exclude a game. Teams are ordered by this NOVA estimate, with equal estimates listed alphabetically. Schools without rated games show a dash. This is not a verified 2026 VHSL formula or a complete regional field; no berth, seed, cutoff or matchup is assigned. Records use the same verified finals as Standings.

Source coverage and unresolved results →

111 schools · All covered regions

Region 6D

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Oakton

    Concorde · 7-0

    33.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Chantilly · Oct 23

  2. James Madison

    Concorde · 6-1

    31.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at South Lakes · Oct 23

  3. South Lakes

    Concorde · 6-1

    30.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. James Madison · Oct 23

  4. Centreville

    Concorde · 5-2

    30.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Westfield · Oct 23

  5. Westfield

    Concorde · 5-2

    29.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Centreville · Oct 23

  6. Langley

    Liberty · 5-2

    26.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at McLean · Oct 23

  7. Washington-Liberty

    Liberty · 6-2

    26.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Yorktown · Oct 31

  8. George Marshall

    Liberty · 3-4

    24.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Wakefield · Oct 23

  9. Yorktown

    Liberty · 4-4

    24.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Herndon · Oct 24

  10. Chantilly

    Concorde · 3-4

    23.000

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Oakton · Oct 23

  11. McLean

    Liberty · 3-5

    22.250

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Langley · Oct 23

  12. Wakefield

    Liberty · 2-5

    20.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at George Marshall · Oct 23

  13. Herndon

    Liberty · 0-7

    17.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Yorktown · Oct 24

Region 6C

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Alexandria City

    Patriot · 7-0

    30.333

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at James Robinson · Oct 23

  2. West Springfield

    Patriot · 5-2

    28.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Fairfax · Oct 23

  3. South County

    Patriot · 6-1

    28.000

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Lake Braddock · Oct 23

  4. West Potomac

    Patriot · 4-3

    26.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at C.G. Woodson · Oct 23

  5. Mount Vernon

    National · 6-2

    26.375

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Falls Church · Oct 30

  6. Falls Church

    National · 5-2

    25.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Hayfield · Oct 23

  7. Lake Braddock

    Patriot · 3-4

    23.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at South County · Oct 23

  8. Hayfield

    National · 2-5

    23.333

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Falls Church · Oct 23

  9. John R. Lewis

    National · 3-4

    22.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Annandale · Oct 23

  10. Annandale

    National · 4-4

    22.125

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at John R. Lewis · Oct 23

  11. James Robinson

    Patriot · 2-5

    22.000

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Alexandria City · Oct 23

  12. C.G. Woodson

    Patriot · 1-6

    20.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. West Potomac · Oct 23

  13. Thomas Edison

    National · 1-7

    20.250

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Justice · Oct 23

  14. Justice

    National · 1-6

    19.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Thomas Edison · Oct 23

  15. Fairfax

    Patriot · 0-7

    18.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. West Springfield · Oct 23

  16. Thomas Jefferson S&T

    National · 1-5

    14.400

    NOVA estimate

    5/6 verified games rated1 scheduled games ahead1 results/statuses pending

    Next: vs. Pendleton County · Oct 30

Region 6B

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Colonial Forge

    Commonwealth · 7-1

    31.625

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Mountain View · Oct 23

  2. Battlefield

    Cedar Run · 6-1

    30.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Osbourn Park · Oct 23

  3. Stafford

    Commonwealth · 6-1

    29.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Riverbend · Oct 23

  4. Brooke Point

    Commonwealth · 6-1

    28.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Massaponax · Oct 23

  5. Gar-Field

    Cardinal · 6-1

    27.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at C.D. Hylton · Oct 23

  6. Woodbridge

    Cardinal · 6-1

    27.333

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Charles Colgan · Oct 23

  7. Independence

    Cedar Run · 5-2

    26.000

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Patriot · Oct 23

  8. Patriot

    Cedar Run · 4-3

    25.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Independence · Oct 23

  9. Osbourn

    Cedar Run · 4-3

    24.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead1 results/statuses pending

    Next: at Gainesville · Oct 23

  10. Charles Colgan

    Cardinal · 4-3

    24.000

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Woodbridge · Oct 23

  11. Gainesville

    Cedar Run · 3-4

    23.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Osbourn · Oct 23

  12. Forest Park

    Cardinal · 2-6

    20.875

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Charles Colgan · Oct 30

  13. Mountain View

    Commonwealth · 2-5

    20.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Colonial Forge · Oct 23

  14. Potomac

    Cardinal · 2-5

    20.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Freedom (Woodbridge) · Oct 23

  15. C.D. Hylton

    Cardinal · 2-5

    20.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Gar-Field · Oct 23

  16. Hartwood

    Commonwealth · 1-7

    19.875

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at North Stafford · Oct 23

  17. North Stafford

    Commonwealth · 0-7

    19.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Hartwood · Oct 23

  18. Osbourn Park

    Cedar Run · 1-6

    18.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Battlefield · Oct 23

  19. Freedom (Woodbridge)

    Cardinal · 0-8

    17.875

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Potomac · Oct 23

  20. Unity Reed

    Cedar Run · 0-8

    17.750

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead1 results/statuses pending

    Next: vs. Osbourn Park · Oct 30

Region 5D

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Stone Bridge

    Potomac · 7-1

    33.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Freedom (South Riding) · Oct 30

  2. Lightridge

    Potomac · 6-1

    27.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. John Champe · Oct 23

  3. Riverbend

    Commonwealth · 6-2

    26.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Stafford · Oct 23

  4. John Champe

    Potomac · 5-2

    24.833

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Lightridge · Oct 23

  5. Massaponax

    Commonwealth · 5-3

    23.875

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Brooke Point · Oct 23

  6. Freedom (South Riding)

    Potomac · 4-3

    21.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Potomac Falls · Oct 22

  7. Briar Woods

    Potomac · 3-4

    21.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Riverside · Oct 23

  8. Potomac Falls

    Potomac · 2-5

    20.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Freedom (South Riding) · Oct 22

  9. Riverside

    Potomac · 2-5

    19.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Briar Woods · Oct 23

Region 4D

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Sherando

    Northwestern · 7-0

    29.333

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at John Handley · Oct 24

  2. James Wood

    Northwestern · 7-1

    25.875

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at John Handley · Oct 31

  3. John Handley

    Northwestern · 5-2

    22.167

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Sherando · Oct 24

  4. Millbrook

    Northwestern · 2-6

    18.750

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Liberty (Bealeton) · Oct 30

  5. Liberty (Bealeton)

    Northwestern · 2-5

    16.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Manassas Park · Oct 23

Region 4C

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Woodgrove

    Catoctin · 6-1

    28.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Broad Run · Oct 23

  2. Loudoun Valley

    Dulles · 7-0

    28.000

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Rock Ridge · Oct 23

  3. Loudoun County

    Catoctin · 6-2

    25.000

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Woodgrove · Oct 30

  4. Heritage (Leesburg)

    Dulles · 4-3

    22.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Tuscarora · Oct 23

  5. Broad Run

    Catoctin · 2-5

    20.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Woodgrove · Oct 23

  6. Tuscarora

    Dulles · 3-4

    19.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Heritage (Leesburg) · Oct 23

  7. Park View

    Catoctin · 2-5

    17.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Hedgesville · Oct 23

  8. Dominion

    Dulles · 1-7

    15.875

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Hedgesville · Oct 29

  9. Rock Ridge

    Dulles · 0-8

    13.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Loudoun Valley · Oct 23

Region 4B

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Louisa County

    Jefferson · 7-0

    26.667

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Orange County · Oct 23

  2. Varina

    Capital · 5-1

    25.600

    NOVA estimate

    5/6 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead1 results/statuses pending

    Next: at Atlee · Oct 23

  3. Huguenot

    Dominion · 6-1

    24.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Richmond HS for the Arts · Oct 24

  4. Mechanicsville

    Capital · 6-1

    23.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. King William · Oct 23

  5. Courtland

    Battlefield · 5-2

    23.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Caroline · Oct 23

  6. Hanover

    Capital · 4-3

    21.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Henrico · Oct 22

  7. Spotsylvania

    Battlefield · 3-4

    21.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Chancellor · Oct 23

  8. King George

    Battlefield · 3-4

    20.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Eastern View · Oct 23

  9. Atlee

    Capital · 3-4

    18.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Varina · Oct 23

  10. Patrick Henry (Ashland)

    Capital · 2-5

    18.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Thomas Dale · Oct 22

  11. Monacan

    Dominion · 2-4

    17.667

    NOVA estimate

    6/6 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead1 results/statuses pending

    Next: at Clover Hill · Oct 23

  12. Chancellor

    Battlefield · 1-6

    16.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Spotsylvania · Oct 23

  13. Eastern View

    Battlefield · 1-6

    16.000

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. King George · Oct 23

  14. Dinwiddie

    Central · 2-6

    15.667

    NOVA estimate

    6/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Meadowbrook · Oct 23

  15. Powhatan

    Dominion · 1-6

    15.143

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Manchester · Oct 23

  16. Caroline

    Battlefield · 2-5

    14.571

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Courtland · Oct 23

  17. Henrico

    Capital · 1-6

    14.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Hanover · Oct 22

  18. Richmond HS for the Arts

    Dominion · 0-7

    13.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Huguenot · Oct 24

Region 3B

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Kettle Run

    Northwestern · 5-2

    24.286

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Fauquier · Oct 23

  2. Culpeper County

    Battlefield · 6-1

    23.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at James Monroe · Oct 23

  3. Meridian

    Northwestern · 5-3

    22.750

    NOVA estimate

    8/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Warren County · Oct 23

  4. Warren County

    Northwestern · 5-2

    21.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Meridian · Oct 23

  5. Brentsville District

    Northwestern · 4-3

    20.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Skyline · Oct 23

  6. James Monroe

    Battlefield · 4-3

    18.429

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Culpeper County · Oct 23

  7. Skyline

    Northwestern · 3-4

    16.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Brentsville District · Oct 23

  8. Goochland

    Jefferson · 3-4

    15.667

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Monticello · Oct 23

  9. Fauquier

    Northwestern · 1-6

    13.857

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Kettle Run · Oct 23

  10. Manassas Park

    Northwestern · 1-7

    12.000

    NOVA estimate

    6/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Liberty (Bealeton) · Oct 23

  11. William Monroe

    Valley · 1-6

    11.167

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at East Rockingham · Oct 23

Region 2B

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Strasburg

    Bull Run · 5-2

    19.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Clarke County · Oct 23

  2. Stuarts Draft

    Shenandoah · 6-2

    17.800

    NOVA estimate

    5/8 verified games rated2 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Buffalo Gap · Oct 30

  3. Buckingham County

    James River · 5-2

    15.000

    NOVA estimate

    5/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Nottoway · Oct 23

  4. Central (Woodstock)

    Bull Run · 2-5

    15.000

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Luray · Oct 23

  5. Fort Defiance

    Shenandoah · 2-5

    14.000

    NOVA estimate

    5/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Rockbridge County · Oct 23

  6. Stonewall Jackson

    Bull Run · 2-5

    13.500

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated1 scheduled games ahead3 results/statuses pending

    Next: vs. Pendleton County · Oct 23

  7. Madison County

    Bull Run · 2-5

    13.333

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Page County · Oct 23

  8. Page County

    Bull Run · 2-5

    12.714

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: at Madison County · Oct 23

  9. Clarke County

    Bull Run · 2-5

    12.500

    NOVA estimate

    6/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Strasburg · Oct 23

Region 1B

NOVA estimate order · covered schools only

  1. Luray

    Bull Run · 3-4

    16.000

    NOVA estimate

    7/7 verified games rated3 scheduled games ahead

    Next: vs. Central (Woodstock) · Oct 23